An Unspoken Truth: Persuasion When #Facts Don’t Matter

Dre Baldwin
4 min readDec 9, 2020

The title: “Why TRUMP Will Win 2020 Election”

My argument was built from the perspective of observing and noting what I saw; not sharing what I wanted to happen, but what I thought would happen and why. I made my case as objectively as I could.

Trump supporters, who seem to have become more open about their MAGA status over the last 4 years (or maybe it was just me being more willing to look for and listen to them), loved it. They liked, shared and commented on the vid heavily. Many of them, amazingly, found me to be very intelligent, smart, and subscribe-worthy based on my analysis.

A few weeks later, I realized that since I didn’t have a dog in the political race, I needed to balance out my messaging. After all, I’m the guy who said in episode #1424 (“Seeing Both Sides Of Any Argument”) that a wise person could argue the “yea” or “nay” of anything.

So, I made another video that both hedged my first and proved my skill (or so I thought): “Why BIDEN Will Win 2020 Election”

Funny enough, Trump supporters dominated the engagement on this one, too: there are two “dislikes” for every one “like” on YouTube. The majority of the comments were people telling me I was wrong, and that Trump would win re-election in a landslide.

As of the second week of November, we know what happened: Joe Biden had been declared the winner (I have to use this wording since President Trump has yet to cede the race as of the time of this writing). My predictions had a 50% success rate.

YouTube being YouTube, I’ve received just as many comments after the outcome as I did before the outcome. Not surprisingly, 98% of these comments are on the “Trump Will Win” video (which has 6x the views of the Biden vid, even pre-election).

The two most common responses (by the sheep who, as I recently told you, note what others have said and follow suit):

1) This didn’t age well 🤣

2) You were wrong!! Haha!!!

Of course, none of these commentators either know about or care to acknowledge that I argued both plausible outcomes of the election. Granted, what I did is not a normal thing to do, especially given how emotionally…

Dre Baldwin

The Discipline to Produce Your Best On Your Toughest Days. It ain’t for everybody. #TheThirdDay Creator of #WorkOnYourGame.